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Jul 07, 2026 11:56 PM ET
Signal
Macro
CBOE Crude Oil Volatility $47.59 ↑ 18.0% 14th %ile (complacency) • KXWTI 7.5% — $117 or above
Kalshi: KXWTI 7.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?
What changed
Kalshi: KXWTI 7.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 14th in 90d range | Regime: complacency
Why it matters
Extreme 0th percentile volatility coupled with a specific $117+ oil price bet signals a major move.
Sources
futures
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